Bitcoin tumbled more than 14% from a day earlier and dropped below $23,400, according to Coindesk. Some of the biggest hits came for cryptocurrencies, which soared early in the pandemic as ultralow rates encouraged some investors to pile into the riskiest investments. When the two-year yield tops the 10-year, an unusual occurrence, some investors see it as a sign of a looming recession. The gap between the two-year and 10-year yields has also narrowed sharply, a signal of weakening optimism about the economy. They're also a particularly painful hit for older and more conservative investors who depend on them as the safer parts of their nest eggs. The higher yields mean prices are tumbling for bonds, a relatively rare occurrence for them in recent decades. The 10-year yield jumped to 3.37% from 3.15%, and the higher level will make mortgages and many other kinds of loans more expensive. It earlier touched its highest level since 2007, according to Tradeweb. The two-year Treasury yield shot to 3.36% from 3.06% late Friday in its second straight major move.
bond yields to their highest levels in more than a decade. Wall Street's sobering realization that inflation is accelerating, not peaking, is also sending U.S. That's why the Fed is in the midst of a whiplash pivot away from the record-low interest rates it engineered earlier in the pandemic, which propped up stocks and other investments amid hopes of juicing the economy. The economy is still holding up overall, but the danger is that the job market and other factors are so hot that they will feed into higher inflation. Those would come on top of some discouraging signals about the economy and corporate profits, including a record-low preliminary reading on consumer sentiment soured by high gasoline prices.
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No one thinks the Fed will stop there, with markets bracing for a continued series of bigger-than-usual hikes. Traders now see a 28% probability of such a mega-hike, up from just 3% a week ago, according to CME Group. That's triple the usual amount and something the Fed hasn't done since 1994. Some economists are speculating the Fed on Wednesday may raise its key rate by three-quarters of a percentage point. "The best thing people can do is to not panic and don't sell at the bottom," said Randy Frederick, managing director of trading and derivatives at the Schwab Center for Financial Research, "and we're probably not at the bottom."
Tesla slumped 7.1%, and Amazon dropped 5.5%. Some of the sharpest drops hit what had been big winners of the easier low-rate era, such as high-growth technology stocks and other former darlings of investors. With the Fed seemingly pinned into having to get more aggressive, prices fell in a worldwide rout for everything from bonds to bitcoin, from New York to New Zealand. Its main method to do that is to raise interest rates in order to slow the economy, a blunt tool that risks a recession if used too aggressively. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was briefly down more than 1,000 points before finishing with a loss of 876.Īt the center of the sell-off again was the Federal Reserve, which is scrambling to get inflation under control. The index sank 3.9% in the first chance for investors to trade after getting the weekend to reflect on the stunning news that inflation is getting worse, not better. Wall Street tumbled into what's called a bear market Monday after fears about a fragile economy and rising interest rates sent the S&P 500 more than 20% below its record set early this year.
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